Philippines Optimistic About US Alliance Under Trump Leadership

The Philippines is currently navigating a complex geopolitical landscape, particularly in relation to its alliance with the United States. As tensions rise in the South China Sea, the Philippines remains optimistic about its partnership with the US, especially under the potential leadership of Donald Trump. This confidence stems from a strong bipartisan commitment in Washington to counter China's growing influence in the region.

Jose Manuel Romualdez, the Philippine ambassador to the US, has expressed that both Democrats and Republicans prioritize maintaining stability in the Indo-Pacific. He believes that military cooperation, economic ties, and security commitments between the US and the Philippines will continue to flourish. Romualdez stated, "It is in their interest that the Indo-Pacific region remains free, peaceful and stable, especially given the economic part of it, with trillions of dollars passing through the South China Sea." This highlights the strategic importance of the region, not just for the Philippines, but for global trade.

Under the current administration of President Joe Biden and Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., security engagements between the two nations have deepened. Both leaders are keenly aware of the aggressive actions taken by China in the South China Sea and near Taiwan. In a message following Trump's victory, Marcos expressed hope that the alliance would continue to be a "force of good" in the region, paving the way for prosperity and friendship.

In a significant move, the Philippines has increased the number of military bases accessible to US forces from five to nine, with some bases strategically located near the South China Sea. The US has proposed substantial funding for infrastructure improvements at these bases, alongside a pledge of $500 million for the Philippine military and coast guard. Romualdez is confident that these commitments will persist under Trump, emphasizing the strong bipartisan support in the US Congress for the Philippines' defense needs.

Romualdez noted that any potential changes in US policy under Trump would likely be "minimal" and could even be beneficial for the Philippines. During Trump's previous term, the US made it clear that it would uphold its defense commitments, particularly when then-Secretary of State Mike Pompeo assured Manila that Washington would defend its ally if attacked in the South China Sea. This assurance reinforced the longstanding Mutual Defense Treaty between the two nations.

China's claims over much of the South China Sea have led to increased tensions, with around $3 trillion in trade passing through this vital waterway annually. Recent clashes over territorial claims have occurred between China and the Philippines, as well as with Vietnam and Indonesia. Despite these challenges, Romualdez emphasized Manila's commitment to managing disputes peacefully, stating, "We’re not at war. There are many areas where the Philippines and China can work together."

The Philippines' relationship with the United States remains a cornerstone of its foreign policy, especially in the face of rising tensions with China. As both nations continue to strengthen their military and economic ties, the hope is that this partnership will not only ensure regional stability but also foster a collaborative approach to addressing shared challenges. The future of this alliance will be crucial in shaping the geopolitical landscape of the Indo-Pacific region.